Researchers at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) have claimed that the situation in India (India) could be very bad if the coronavirus vaccine (Covid-19 Vaccine) is not found. According to scientists, if the vaccine is not available till next year, by the end of the winter of 2021, 2.87 lakh new cases of infection can be reported daily in India.
Washington. Researchers at the prestigious Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) in the US (US) have claimed that if the Covid-19 Vaccine of Coronavirus is not found, then the situation in India (India) could be very bad. . According to scientists, if the vaccine is not available till next year, by the end of the winter of 2021, 2.87 lakh new cases of infection can be reported daily in India. Scientists have prepared a model for a Kovid-19, according to which India can leave America behind.
The team of MIT scientists has developed a dynamic epidemic model based on reliable test data in 84 countries. The world has 4.75 billion people living in these 84 countries. In this paper, Yang Lim from MIT professors Hajir Rahmanadad and John Sterman, PhD students, estimated the daily infection rates of the top 10 countries affected by the infection to be 2.87 lakh new cases a day by the end of the winter of 2021 in India. Can. After this, America, South Africa, Iran, Indonesia, Britain, Nigeria, Turkey, France and Germany will be ranked.
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MIT said – If only the estimate but the vaccine is not found, it will be accurate
Researchers made it clear that forecasting only predicts potential danger and not predicts future cases. Researchers said that rigorous screening and reducing contact with infected people could reduce the risk of future cases, while reckless attitude and acceptance of the threat as normal would lead to an epidemic. Researchers said that the forecast for 2021 is based on the status of not developing the vaccine. MIT has also expressed concern for the low test rate in India. In India, currently only 7,782 out of 1 million people are being tested, while in America it is 1,19,257 and in Brazil also more than 21000.
In this model, there have been many important disclosures based on data from 84 countries. For example, the actual state of the epidemic is being reduced. According to the researchers, the cases and the death rate since June 18 are 11.8 and 1.48 times more than the official figures respectively. According to the number of corona infects, India is the most affected by the corona epidemic after America, Brazil. But if we talk about infected cases and mortality per 10 lakh population, then India is much better than other countries.
