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Diplomacy at the Deadline: US and Bangladesh Ink Historic Trade Pact Days Before Polls

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In a move that significantly recalibrates South Asian trade dynamics, the United States and Bangladesh formalized a comprehensive Reciprocal Trade Agreement on Monday, February 9, 2026. Signed in Washington D.C. by US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer and Bangladesh Commerce Adviser Sheikh Bashir Uddin, the deal marks a major victory for the interim government led by Dr. Muhammad Yunus.

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The pact effectively lowers the barrier for Bangladeshi exporters to the US—their largest market—while securing massive long-term contracts for American aerospace, energy, and agriculture sectors.

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Strategic Timing: The Pre-Election “Yunus-Trump” Pact

The timing of the signature is being closely watched by geopolitical analysts. With Bangladesh heading to the polls on February 12 to choose a permanent government after 18 months of interim rule, this deal provides a massive economic endorsement for the Yunus administration.

  • The Tariff Glidepath: Last year, the Trump administration initially proposed a 37% tariff on Bangladesh, which was reduced to 20% in August 2025. This latest cut to 19% places Bangladesh on par with regional competitors like Pakistan and Indonesia, and just slightly behind India’s 18% interim rate.

  • Political Capital: The deal is seen as a “pro-reform” signal, aligning Dhaka’s trade policies more closely with Washington just as the nation prepares for its first competitive election since 2009.

The “Golden” Textile Clause: Zero Tariffs for US-Source Apparel

For the Ready-Made Garment (RMG) sector—which contributes 80% of Bangladesh’s exports—the most critical part of the deal is the Annex III mechanism.

  1. US Input Incentive: Garments made from US-grown cotton or US-produced man-made fibers will now enter the US market at 0% reciprocal tariff.

  2. Supply Chain Integration: This creates a “closed-loop” incentive for Bangladeshi factory owners to switch from Indian or Chinese raw materials to American inputs.

  3. Volume Linked: The zero-duty volume will be directly proportional to the quantity of US textile exports to Bangladesh, ensuring a balanced “reciprocal” benefit.

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Market Access Exchange: What the US Gains in Dhaka

The agreement is far from one-sided. In exchange for tariff relief, Bangladesh has made several high-value commitments to “Buy American.

[Image Suggestion: A map showing the new trade corridor between US cotton ports and the Dhaka/Chittagong garment manufacturing hubs]

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Economic Context: Rebuilding After the 2024 Revolution

This trade deal arrives at a precarious moment for the Bangladeshi economy. The nation is still recovering from the 2024 Student Uprising that toppled the previous regime and caused significant disruptions to the RMG supply chain.

“The reduction of reciprocal tariff will grant further advantage to our exporters, while zero-duty access for specific garments using US inputs will give substantial impetus to our recovery,” stated National Security Adviser Khalilur Rahman, the chief negotiator.

By securing this deal, the interim government has effectively “future-proofed” the textile sector against the 25%–40% tariff threats that have characterized the current US trade era.

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[COMPARISON: US RECIPROCAL TARIFF RATES – FEB 2026]

Country Base Reciprocal Tariff Special Exemptions
India 18% 0% on certain tech/energy
Bangladesh 19% 0% for apparel with US inputs
Vietnam 20% Negotiating
Pakistan 19% Limited agriculture
China 60%+ None

Next Steps

If you are a garment exporter, you should immediately begin auditing your supply chain to verify the Certificate of Origin for your cotton, as this is now the key to unlocking the 0% tariff. Furthermore, as the February 12 election approaches, you should stay tuned for our live coverage of the polling results, which will determine if the incoming government will uphold these specific trade commitments.

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